Fatality of Cases by New Coronavirus Disease (COVID 19): A Case Study in the Mexican State of Guanajuato | Chapter 04 | New Horizons in Medicine and Medical Research Vol. 9

 The goal of this research is to explain the COVID-19 pandemic and report on fatalities in the Mexican state of Guanajuato until October 2, 2020.

The National Epidemiological Surveillance System Database from Mexico was used for this study. Age, sex, comorbidities (diabetes, COPD, asthma, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, immunosuppression, chronic renal disease, obesity, and smoking), date of death, and real-time reverse transcription polymerase test results were all collected. In statistical analysis, the Case Fatality Ratio, Chi-squared test, and P-value were used to show relationships between variables. The impact of comorbidities on death from COVID-19 was demonstrated using the odds ratio and 95 percent confidence intervals. The statistical relationships were also determined using a Bayesian network model. risk factors, comorbidities, and mortality There were 100,109 suspected cases, with 41.69 percent of them testing positive for SARS-CoV-2. COVID-19 discovered that being over 60 and male had a higher risk of death. In Guanajuato State, 1,457 fatalities (48.68 percent) happened in the Mexican Institute of Social Security, with a case fatality ratio of 15.63 percent; meanwhile, 1,260 deaths (42.10 percent) occurred in the Ministry of Health, with a case fatality ratio of 4.14 percent. Diabetes (OR 5.16, CI95 percent 4.77–5.59), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 6.34, CI95 percent 5.37–7.49), immunosuppression (OR 2.85, CI95 percent 2.17–3.76), cardiovascular disease (OR 4.20, CI95 percent 3.51–5.02), hypertension (OR 4.74, CI95 percent 4.39–5.11), chronic kidney disease (OR 6.27, CI95 percent 5.30–7.42), COVID-19 has an influence on death.

Age and sex were the two most important risk variables for mortality among COVID-19 patients in Guanajuato. Diabetes, COPD, immunosuppression, cardiovascular disease, chronic renal disease, obesity, and smoking, on the other hand, are all variables that increase the chance of mortality. On the other hand, comorbidities and risk factors are strongly linked. SARS-CoV-2 disease lethality is unaffected by HIV/AIDS, however asthma appears to be protective.


Author(S) Details

Efrain Navarro-Olivos
Directorate of Teaching and Research, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State, Guanajuato, Mexico.

Gilberto Flores-Vargas
Department of Research and Technological Development, Directorate of Teaching and Research, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State, Guanajuato, Mexico.

Maria de Jesus Gallardo-Luna
Department of Research and Technological Development, Directorate of Teaching and Research, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State, Guanajuato, Mexico.

Francisco Javier Magos-Vazquez
Directorate of Health Services, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State, Guanajuato, Mexico.

Daniel Alberto Diaz-Martinez
Directorate of Health Services, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State, Guanajuato, Mexico.

Nicolas Padilla-Raygoza
Department of Research and Technological Development, Directorate of Teaching and Research, Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State, Guanajuato, Mexico.

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