Climate change is one of the most pressing issues facing our planet today, and the trend of global warming will be more pronounced at high altitude zones, particularly in the tropics and subtropics, where warming will be 3 to 5 times faster than the rest of the world. Continued climate change is predicted to cause considerable changes in precipitation patterns, affecting river flows, groundwater recharge, natural hazards, the ecosystem, as well as people and their livelihoods. Kinnaur is mostly covered in snow and is located in a cold desert with high hilly ranges varying in elevation from 2,320 to 6,816 metres (7,612 to 22,362 feet). Any variations in precipitation would have an impact on Kinnaur's climate. Climate change in the Himalayas has a huge impact on the ecology and ecosystem. Changes in precipitation patterns would have a variety of effects on the river, as well as the adjacent grassland and woodland ecosystems. It also increases the likelihood of hydro-meteorological disasters such as flash floods, avalanches, floods, Glacier lake outburst floods (GLOF), altered vegetation patterns, and snowline movement, among other things. We looked at Kinnaur's 100-year precipitation data (from 1914 to 2013) to see if climate change had an impact on precipitation patterns. We found a series of wet and dry periods for 25 years, and a 50-year study of average precipitation revealed that average precipitation has been increasing since 1964. According to the statistics above, Kinnaur will have a rainy phase in the next 20-25 years, increasing the chances of a hydro-meteorological disaster.
Author(S) Details
Vinay Kumar Pandey
Geosystems Infrastructure, Mumbai, India.
Ajai Mishra
Department of Geology, University of Lucknow, Lucknow-226007, U.P., India.
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