The goal of the study was to see how temperature affected avian respiratory diseases in the region of Villa Clara, Cuba. During the period 2005-2007, retrospective data were used to acquire epizootiological statistical information on susceptible and deceased chickens about avian respiratory diseases in specialist poultry farms in Villa Clara province. These figures were compared to the average temperature stockings for this time period in this county. The entire number of deaths was linked to the total number of susceptible people, who were linked to the provincial temperature stockings. The model Autoregressive Integrated Moving Averages (ARIMA) of Box-Jenkins Methodology was used for data processing utilising the statistical tool SPSS Version 13. Multivariate regression techniques were also used to model the total number of poultry deaths. According to the final ARIMA model, a one-degree increase in temperature resulted in an increase of 53.37 fatalities. A 95 percent probability value was also employed. In the study area of Villa Clara province, Cuba, this investigation permits confirming and quantifying the impact of mean temperature on susceptible and poultry fatalities. It was discovered that for every 1oC increase in monthly half temperature, there will be an increase of 8 894 susceptible cases, and for every 1000 susceptible cases, there will be an increase of 6 birds, implying that the susceptible cases will be roughly equal to the total number of deaths.
Author (S) Details
Rigoberto Fimia Duarte
Faculty of Health Technology and Nursing, University of Medical Sciences of Villa Clara, Cuba.
Ricardo Osés Rodríguez
Villa Clara Provincial Meteorological Center, Cuba.
David del Valle Laveaga
Academic Area of Health, Maya World University, México.
María Patricia Zambrano Gavilanes
Veterinary Medicine of Career, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine and Zootechnic, Technical University of Manabi, Manabi, Ecuador.
Pedro Yoelvys de la Fé Rodríguez
Veterinary Medicine of Career, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine and Zootechnic. Central University 'Marta Abreu' of Las Villas, Villa Clara, Cuba.
Yanira Zaita Ferrer
Faculty of Health Technology and Nursing, University of Medical Sciences of Villa Clara, Cuba.
Fran M. Wilford González
Veterinary Medicine of Career, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine and Zootechnic. Central University 'Marta Abreu' of Las Villas, Villa Clara, Cuba.
Ismabel Domínguez Hurtado
Villa Clara Provincial Meteorological Center, Cuba.
View Book :- https://stm.bookpi.org/NFMMR-V16/article/view/3778
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