Showing posts with label ARDL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ARDL. Show all posts

Tuesday, 25 July 2023

The Impact of Devaluation on Trade Balance in the Sudanese Context | Chapter 2 | Current Topics on Business, Economics and Finance Vol. 8

 The most of developing frugalities endeavor to achieve a business surplus by increasing exports over imports. Devaluation is regarded all at once way for a country to reach trade surplus, particularly by increasing the price of imports in the household country while reducing that of exports. The purpose concerning this chapter search out identify the primary financial variables that impact the trade balance of Sudan. Particularly, it reviews how Sudan’s mutual trade balance was jolted by exchange rate changes, revenue, and supply of money between 1970 and 2020. To review how bills devaluation jolted Sudan’s trade balance accompanying its basic partners, a cointegration approach and wrong correction method were used to expand the empirical model for this study. According to the bounds test, the variables of interest are interlacing in the long-run. The significance of the befriended equilibrium fixing supports the presence of a long-run connection. Furthermore, variance decomposition was executed to examine the active interactions of the variables contained in the estimated model. According to the results of the difference decomposition, changes in foreign earnings are a major contributing determinant in the forecast error difference of the trade balance in the not around for long. By contrast, in comparison accompanying other variables, the household money supply is very influential on trade balance in the long-run. One of the key verdicts of this study displays that the devaluation of Sudan’s cash does not represent solid progress toward enhancing the rank of its trade balance.

Author(s) Details:

Ahmed Abdu Allah Ibrahim,

Faculty of Economic and Social Studies, Al-Neelain University, Khartoum, Sudan.

Mohamed Sharif Bashir,

Applied Faculty, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Please see the link here: https://stm.bookpi.org/CTBEF-V8/article/view/11328

Wednesday, 14 April 2021

An Economic Analysis of Cointegration for Potato Market in Tamil Nadu, India | Chapter 7 | Insights into Economics and Management Vol. 7

 The aim of this study was to examine potato market integration in India, specifically how the Tamil Nadu market behaves in comparison to other potato markets across the country. For market integration research, major potato markets such as Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, and Gujarat were chosen because they account for the majority of the total supply of potatoes to Tamil Nadu. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) was used to estimate cointegration (long run equilibrium) between these markets because the price data for the Tamil Nadu market was non-stationary and the prices for the other markets were stationary in level form. Month-by-month potato price data from January 2005 to September 2016 was gathered from various sources and analysed. Long run equilibrium existed among the potato markets in Tamil Nadu, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, and Gujarat, but the pace of adjustment of the equilibrium level was very slow in the long run. The main determinant of shocks in the Tamil Nadu potato market was a shift in the price of potatoes in the Gujarat market.


Author (s) Details

V. Vigila
Domestic and Export Market Intelligence Cell, Centre for Agricultural and Rural Development Studies, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu-641003, India.

K. M. Shivakumar
Domestic and Export Market Intelligence Cell, Centre for Agricultural and Rural Development Studies, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu-641003, India.

A. Rohini
Domestic and Export Market Intelligence Cell, Centre for Agricultural and Rural Development Studies, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu-641003, India.

B. Sivakami
Domestic and Export Market Intelligence Cell, Centre for Agricultural and Rural Development Studies, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu-641003, India.

View Book :- https://stm.bookpi.org/IEAM-V7/article/view/619