Showing posts with label statistical model. Show all posts
Showing posts with label statistical model. Show all posts

Tuesday, 6 May 2025

Long-Term Equilibrium Relationship of the Johansen Model Applied to an Island Zone for Photovoltaic Energy Prediction | Chapter 2 | Science and Technology: Developments and Applications Vol. 10

Solar photovoltaic (PV) plant systems transform solar energy into electric power. A main goal of the Mauritian government is to significantly increase from 13% to 60% of the share of renewables in the energy mix. This paper presents findings based on the Johansen vector error correction model (VECM) cointegration approach, drawing from the author's original and prior research, with a focus on short-term predictions (15-minute intervals) for PV power output in Mauritius. The innovation of this study lies in applying the long-term equilibrium relationship identified in earlier research from Reunion Island to the PV plants in Mauritius. The prediction model has been trained using data from 2019 to 2022, focusing on a random month and day, for both hourly and 15-minute intervals. The data used in this study are measured from the PV system installed on the rooftop of the University of Mauritius (UoM) which is located on the west coast of the island. Experimental results indicate that the performance metric R² values exceed 93%, demonstrating a strong positive correlation between the Johansen model and onsite measurements. This proposed model serves as a robust predictive tool, with the potential for enhanced accuracy when integrated with machine learning techniques such as LSTM that can adapt to varying datasets. Future works will focus on the best artificial intelligence to fit the model as sudden variability in PV power output due to sudden fluctuation in irradiance can have a serious impact on grid stability.

 

Author (s) Details

 

Harry Ramenah
University of Lorraine, LCOMS Laboratory, 57070 Metz, France.

 

Abdel Khoodaruth
University of Mauritius, Faculty of Engineering, Réduit, Mauritius.

 

Vishwamitra Oree
University of Mauritius, Faculty of Engineering, Réduit, Mauritius.

 

Zahiir Coya
University of Mauritius, Faculty of Engineering, Réduit, Mauritius.

 

Anshu Murdan
University of Mauritius, Faculty of Engineering, Réduit, Mauritius.

 

Miloud Bessafi
University of Reunion Island, LE²P – Energy-Lab, 97744 Saint-Denis, France.

 

Damodar Doseeah
Central Electricity Board, Curepipe, Mauritius.

 

Please see the book here:- https://doi.org/10.9734/bpi/stda/v10/5077

Friday, 29 December 2023

Investigating 149,152,155&161Tb Production Cross-Sections through Gd (p, xn) Tb and Gd(p,g) Tb Reactions: A Comprehensive Analysis Near and above the Threshold | Chapter 8 | Current Perspective to Physical Science Research Vol. 3

The Result cross-section of radio-isotopes; 149,152,155&161Tb have existed calculated by way of various reactions on the Gadolinium isotopes, utilizing nuclear model codes EMPIRE 3.2 & PACE4 established Hausher Feshback approach and compared accompanying TENDL-2019 library (calculated by TALYS law). The production of radio-nuclides act a high rise in current years because of more expansive application in leading technological tools secondhand in nuclear medicine. A splitting decay mode is working using a rotating liquid drop splitting barrier routine. The code more provides occurrence by event trace back of the whole decay sequence from the compound nucleus into some one of the exit channels. Beginning for the production of radio-isotope 149Tb through 152Gd(p, 4n) is 30 MeV (hurdle height; 22.79 MeV) while for 152Tb & 155Tb through 155Gd(p, xn); x =1&4 channels are 6 & 28 MeV respectively. For 161Tb the result threshold through backlash channel 160Gd (p, γ) is around 6 MeV. Quite considerable values of the result cross-sections of all the desired isotopes have existed obtained within the intentional energy range.The significance of the present calculations further increases restrain view the scarcity of the experimental results. It can further aid to open up the new exploratory opportunities for the production concerning this radionuclide.

Author(s) Details:

Kailash Pandey,
Department of Physics, University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, Dehradun (UK)-248007, India.

D. P. Singh,
Department of Physics, University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, Dehradun (UK)-248007, India.

Please see the link here: https://stm.bookpi.org/CPPSR-V3/article/view/12856