The subprime crisis, considered by experts to be the worst since
the 1930s, is mainly linked to the American mortgage policy. According to the
contemporary cycle theory, the origin of the crisis lies in the manipulation of
key interest rates by the Federal Reserve. This study aims to analyse the
causes of the subprime mortgage crisis. It is based on a general analytical
framework for the problem of crises. Drawing on the theory of financial cycles
and principles of political economy, the study explores how speculative bubbles
emerge and burst.
Speculative bubbles are not new in economics; the first identified
as such was the "Tulip Crisis" in the 17th century. Other crises
followed. This study primarily focuses on the subprime mortgage crisis, marked
by the bursting of a speculative bubble in the real estate sector in the United
States. This study analyses the events of this crisis and may serve as an early
warning in identifying bubble patterns in the economy.
An analysis of financial cycles indicates the existence of several
phases inherent in financial cycles and applicable to the subprime mortgage
crisis. Analysis of the cycles in the study clearly shows that the optimistic
and "sheep-like" behaviour of financial markets contributes to the formation
of speculative bubbles. Moreover, while the Federal Reserve (FED) can be blamed
for the subprime mortgage crisis, economists failed to mobilise existing and
well-known theoretical economic principles to prevent this turbulence. This
study concluded by discussing the COVID-19 crisis and the government's
response.
Author(s)
Details
Xavier
Brédart
Accounting and Management Department, Warocqué School of Business
and Economics, University of Mons, Mons, Belgium.
Please see the book here:- https://doi.org/10.9734/bpi/nabme/v9/5822
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